The Premier League enters match day 7 this weekend and as always, there are quite a lot to look forward to. It is the round that precedes an international break and teams will be looking to secure the points before their players go on to represent their countries next week.
Today, we bring you predictions and betting tips of the all games lined up for this round of games.
Wolves vs Crystal Palace
Wolves have made a steady start to the season (W3, D1, L2), scoring the game’s opening goal in four of those Premier League (PL) fixtures. This added to a record from last season which has seen them avoid defeat in each PL match in which they struck first (W14, D3). Notably, three of their four opening strikes this season have arrived in the second half.
Nuno Espírito Santo’s side have scored just one solitary goal in each home league match so far (W1, D1, L1), although two of those three goals did arrive in the final 15 minutes of the match. They lost only one of their 13 home fixtures vs sides who finished below them in the table last season (W7, D5, L1).
In the midst of their best PL start for three years (W3, D1, L2), Crystal Palace have scored five of their eight league goals inside the opening 30 minutes of play. However, some of this good work has been undone by a growing vulnerability in the closing minutes, and six of their nine league goals against have arrived after the 60th minute.
The ‘Eagles’ boast a decent record at Molineux Stadium, losing only two of their previous seven matches there (W3, D2, L2). That said, they did lose five of their seven away matches (W1, D1) vs the top seven teams last season, and they failed to score in each of those defeats too.
A tight fixture on paper but Wolves a better side and are slowly beginning to upturn their form after a slow start and the bet is on them getting a win here. Stake on Betpay for odds of 2.05 for a Wolves win.
Prediction: Wolves 2-1 Crystal Palace
Sheffield United vs Manchester City
Sheffield United are still without a league win (D1, L5), and currently sport the worst average goal return per match (0.5) of any side to have played at least six Premier League (PL) fixtures. Despite this, four of their five league defeats this season have come by a single-goal margin, while six of their last seven conceded PL goals have arrived after the break.
The ‘Blades’ also lost both H2Hs last season without finding the net, conceding all three goals across those matches in the second half. Additionally, Sheffield United took just one home point from nine against last season’s eventual top-three (GF 3, GA 5) with every goal conceded arriving between the 70th and 79th minutes of play.
Manchester City, meanwhile, have recovered from their record-breaking 5-2 defeat against Leicester by going six matches unbeaten in all competitions (W4, D2), keeping a clean sheet in three of the four wins and scoring 2.0 goals on average. They’ve been ahead at HT in four of their last six matches in all competitions, and in three of five PL matches so far.
Away from home, City are unbeaten in all competitions this season (W3, D2), but have been held to 1-1 draws in back-to-back away PL matches that featured precisely one goal in all halves and saw no goals scored past the hour mark. City have averaged 2.20 goals scored per match across their last ten competitive away fixtures.
The Blades are having a difficult campaign and while they will give City a fight, expect Pep Guardiola’s men to win this one and you can bet on it on Betpay, who offers odds of 1.30.
Prediction: Sheffield United 1-3 Manchester City
Burnley vs Chelsea
January remains the last time Burnley managed to win a Premier League (PL) game against an eventual top-half team of 2019/20. Without a present crowd, their league record against such teams reads: D3, L3. Curiously, each draw ended 1-1, with Burnley twice losing the first half via a goal between the 31st-45th minutes of play.
Burnley are winless in five PL home games (D2, L3), conceding the opener within 20 minutes in two of the last three games within that run. They also failed to take a single home point last season against any eventual top-four club. The defeats averaged a margin of 2.5 goals, seeing the ‘Clarets’ outscored 11-0 between the 20th-80th minutes of play.
Chelsea have averaged a healthy 2.5 goals across their last four PL games (W1, D3), but they are still waiting for a first-half away goal from open play in this league campaign. At the other end, the ‘Blues’ have faced under 3.5 shots on target in four of their six PL fixtures so far.
The visitors have led at HT in seven of their last ten PL away wins, and their 4-2 win in last season’s corresponding fixture is amongst them, with that result being their third HT/FT double at Burnley in as many PL visits.
Chelsea’s rollercoaster run continues but overall, they are no match for this Burnley side and expect them to get an impressive at the Turf Moor. Betpay is offering odds of 1.50 for a win for the Blues.
Prediction: Burnley 0-3 Chelsea
Liverpool vs West Ham
Victorious in three straight home league H2Hs vs West Ham, while scoring 3.67 goals per match on average, Liverpool are four matches unbeaten across all competitions (W3, D1). Questions about their defensive resilience without long-term injured Virgil van Dijk have been temporarily quieted after two clean sheets across their last three matches (all wins).
Though unbeaten in 62 home league matches, Liverpool showed signs of weariness in their last outing here against Midtjylland, failing to register a first-half shot on goal for the first time in 51 home matches in all competitions. That said, Liverpool have won three straight home league assignments this season while scoring 3.0 goals on average.
West Ham, meanwhile, held Manchester City to a draw in the last round, extending their unbeaten league run to four matches (W2, D2), giving them hope of a first PL win against Liverpool in nine attempts (D2, L6). Impressive as matches wear on, the ‘Hammers’ have scored five goals after the 80th minute across their last four PL matches.
Away from home, results have been mixed for West Ham this season (W1, D1, L2 – all competitions). Yet, goals have been a consistent theme, as their four away matches have averaged 4.25 total goals with all four witnessing at least three. The total goals output across their last four PL visits to Liverpool stands close, at 4.5 on average.
The champions are far from the imperious form that saw them lift the title last season and are coming up against an increasingly dangerous West Ham side. Tough call but expect both sides to find the back of the net. There are odds of 1.55 on Betpay for both teams to score.
Prediction: Liverpool 3-2 West Ham
Aston Villa vs Southampton
Aston Villa’s 100% Premier League (PL) start ended with a 3-0 loss to Leeds United (October 23), yet their league games have still averaged an entertaining 3.4 goals per match so far, and no PL team has conceded fewer than their average of 1.0 goals per fixture this season.
With no home league draw in eight matches (W4, L4), it’s been all or nothing for Villa here recently, but they are undefeated in 66.67% of the home league games they’ve entered as favourites since the start of last season. Furthermore, they’ve won 64.71% of the PL home fixtures in which they scored first during that same period, winning the last four such games.
Southampton’s 2-0 win over early PL leaders Everton (October 25) leaves them unbeaten in four matches (W3, D1) and having made their best PL start since 2014/15. Scoring 2+ goals in four of their last five games, they are yet to concede a PL goal this season before the tenth minute and are unbeaten in eight competitive H2Hs (W5, D3).
Furthermore, the ‘Saints’ haven’t lost any of the last five league H2Hs at Villa Park (W3, D2), with four of those matches featuring the same HT/FT outcome. They scored first in the two most recent meetings, and when doing that in PL away games since the start of 2019/20, they are unbeaten in 13 (86.67%) of 15 fixtures (W9, D4, L2).
Prediction: Aston Villa 1-1 Southampton
Newcastle vs Everton
Newcastle United have been far from predictable in the Premier League (PL) so far, (W2, D2, L2). However, one thing that looks guaranteed is late drama, as nine goals have been scored after 75th minute across their six league matches. This is worth noting given that they scored twice in stoppage time to rescue a point against Everton in the last H2H meeting.
Home league wins have been hard to come by and the ‘Magpies’ have managed just two since January (W2, D4, L4). Despite this, they have tended to start fast and opened the scoring before the 15th minute in three of their previous four home league fixtures. Those early goals do little for the result when you concede 3+ goals at the other end, and that’s what they’ve done in four of their previous five home league matches.
Still top of the league ahead of this gameweek, Everton suffered their first PL defeat last weekend (W4, D1, L1). It was rare for Carlo Ancelotti’s side to draw a blank given that they had scored 2+ goals in each of their seven competitive fixtures before that. That fixture also meant they’ve conceded 2+ goals in three consecutive PL matches, and they haven’t maintained a clean sheet before HT in five straight PL games.
Everton have, however, won five of their previous seven PL visits to Newcastle (L2), and they’re chasing a ninth win overall in the competition (PL era) – only winning more times away vs West Ham (11). The ‘Toffees’ have also scored here in nine consecutive PL visits.
The Tofees lost their first game of the season last week but remain a formidable threat nonetheless. Expect them to return to winning ways at Newcastle and there are odds of 2.00 on Betpay for them to win.
Prediction: Newcastle 1-2 Everton
Manchester United vs Arsenal
This campaign marks the first time since 1972/73 that Manchester United haven’t won any of their first three home league games of a season. Overall, they are on a run of five home league fixtures without victory with 25% of their goals conceded therein coming from the penalty spot. Three of the matches saw them trail by one goal at the 15-minute mark.
United’s all-time top-flight record against Arsenal is strong (W75, D45, L62 – GF 272, GA 247), with an average of 2.85 total goals per match (either way) across that entire 114-year old record. Furthermore, United have specifically led 1-0 at the break in five (W3, D2) of their last eight Premier League (PL) home H2Hs vs Arsenal.
Arsenal travel north having been ahead at HT in just one of their league assignments so far. On the road, Arsenal have lost the first half by a one-goal margin in each of their last three PL away defeats, conceding once between the 16th-30th minute each time.
Back in happier times for the ‘Gunners’, the year 2002 saw Arsenal clinch their second PL-era title at Old Trafford (W 1-0), but their league record at the ‘Theatre of Dreams’ since then reads: W1, D6, L11. In scant consolation, only two of those defeats saw them lose both halves.
Arsenal have been in decent form, while United are only just looking like they are gaining some momentum. A game to watch out for and expect both sides to score and stake on Betpay with odds of 1.55.
Prediction: Manchester United 2-1 Arsenal