The Premier League returns this weekend for matchday 5 after a two-week hiatus occasioned by the international break. As a way to whet the appetite, some interesting fixtures are lined up this weekend and we are bringing you predictions and betting tips for all 10 games.

Everton vs Liverpool

Ten years to the day since they last won against Liverpool, Everton are hosting another Merseyside derby in the Premier League (PL). In top form heading into the big match, Everton have won seven straight matches in a row for the first time since 1894! Strangely, the eighth match in that sequence was the inaugural derby at Goodison Park, which Everton won 3-0, and then went on to finish second in the league that year!

More currently, however, Everton are without a win in 22 matches against Liverpool (D11, L11), across which they’ve failed to score in 12, and scored just 0.68 goals per match on average. Yet, Everton have scored 3.43 goals on average across their seven competitive matches this season, and their last five have featured over 2.5 total goals and both teams scoring.

Liverpool, meanwhile, had to enter the international break on the back of a shock 7-2 defeat, which made them the first reigning champions to concede seven in a top-flight match since Arsenal in 1953. So too was it Jürgen Klopp’s biggest defeat in 876 managerial matches.

In turn, Liverpool’s last 12 PL matches have averaged 4.42 total goals. Furthermore, their tally of 11 conceded goals after four league rounds (2.75 on average) is their worst defensive start since 1937. In addition, they have also kept just one clean sheet across their last nine PL matches.

This is one interesting fixture in prospect with Everton leading the form table while Liverpool are defending champions. While it may be a tough ask to predict who the winner will be, one thing you can bank on is for both teams to score and Betpay has odds of 1.45 for both teams to find the back of the net.

PREDICTION: Everton 2-2 Liverpool

Chelsea vs Southampton

It’s been a decent start for Chelsea who have lost just one of their opening four Premier League (PL) matches (W2, D1). Their victory last time out against Crystal Palace also handed them their fourth clean sheet in five PL home matches. This is worth noting given that they also secured six clean sheets across their ten home matches vs sides who finished 11th or below last season.

Although the ‘Blues’ have kept just one clean sheet so far this season, they’ve done well restricting shots on their goal. Subsequently, they’ve faced under 3.5 shots on target in three of their four PL fixtures so far, and under 1.5 in the first half in three of the four.

Like in their previous campaign (W1, D1, L2), Southampton have lost two of their opening four PL matches (W2). Across both of those four game sequences, they avoided defeat in each of the two final matches of the run, and they also scored a combined three goals across both of those final two matches in the chain. Additionally, like here, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s men also travelled away from home on matchday five last season, winning the fixture 1-0.

The ‘Saints’ lost just two of their five PL away matches vs sides who finished in the top five last season (W2, D1, L2). They scored inside the opening 45 minutes in four of those matches and netted exactly two goals in three of the fixtures.

Neither side can be said to have had the best of starts but you might want to place your money on Chelsea nicking this one. Betpay has odds of 1.50 for that happening.

PREDICTION: Chelsea 3-1 Southampton

Manchester City vs Arsenal

Already trailing in their bid to recapture the Premier League (PL) title, Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City were knocked out by former assistant Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal in last season’s FA-Cup semi-final, but in the league, the ‘Sky Blues’ have won six straight H2Hs. Consistent scorers, they have put exactly three goals past the Arsenal goalkeeper in five of those.

City’s last home match saw them lose 5-2 vs Leicester, marking Guardiola’s heaviest home defeat as City boss. Furthermore, it was the first time in 438 matches at the Etihad Stadium that City conceded five goals. The shock was even greater considering they’d conceded just one goal in the preceding seven PL matches here.

Arsenal, meanwhile, have seen all of their four league matches played so far feature over 2.5 total goals. However, they have been ahead at HT in just one of four PL matches so far, and that trend is unlikely to stop here, as they’ve been behind at HT in seven straight matches against City.

The Gunners’ second goal in their last match came after 19 team passes – the longest buildup after four rounds of the PL. So far, four (44.44%) of the nine PL goals that have come after 10+ passes have been scored by Arsenal. However, Arsenal have seen less than 50% of the possession in all 19 competitive H2Hs vs City since 2013.

Arsenal have been in impressive form so far this season and have strengthened with the signing of Thomas Partey. However, the same cannot be said of City. One thing that is however, certain to happen in this game is for both teams to score.

You can stake on both sides to score on Betpay with odds of 1.50.

PREDICTION: Manchester City 3-2 Arsenal

Newcastle vs Manchester United

Consecutive Premier League (PL) home victories have been out of reach for Newcastle since December 2019. When considering their win rate of 27.27% (W3, D3, L5) as a home outsider last PL season – almost exactly in line with the league average of 27.94% – that stretch appears set to continue.

However, one of those three victories above was a 1-0 success against Manchester United. Encouragingly, their more recent home win over Burnley was just their second PL home victory by a margin of more than one goal since the beginning of 2019/20. Their last result was also their first in four PL games (home or away) in which they scored before HT.

A 6-1 hammering last round now means Manchester United’s defence has failed to collect a clean sheet this PL season, conceding in the first 45 minutes on all three occasions. The recent H2H history, in which four of the last seven games at any venue have produced at least five total goals, could see Manchester United’s 2020/21 PL season average of 5.33 total goals per game continue.

The visitors’ PL win rate of just 41.18% (W7, D5, L5) as a travelling favourite since the beginning of 2019/20 saw them slip up against many lowly ranked opponents. In that period, their PL record away to clubs (including Newcastle) that finished 13th or lower last season stands at W5, L4, with both teams scoring in just two of the nine.

A terrible start to the season for Manchester United means Newcastle will fancy their chances and a stalemate looks a possible outcome here. Betpay has offerings of 4.10 for a draw.

PREDICTION: Newcastle 1-1 Manchester United

Sheffield vs Fulham

Consecutive Premier League (PL) home victories have been out of reach for Newcastle since December 2019. When considering their win rate of 27.27% (W3, D3, L5) as a home outsider last PL season – almost exactly in line with the league average of 27.94% – that stretch appears set to continue.

However, one of those three victories above was a 1-0 success against Manchester United. Encouragingly, their more recent home win over Burnley was just their second PL home victory by a margin of more than one goal since the beginning of 2019/20. Their last result was also their first in four PL games (home or away) in which they scored before HT.

A 6-1 hammering last round now means Manchester United’s defence has failed to collect a clean sheet this PL season, conceding in the first 45 minutes on all three occasions. The recent H2H history, in which four of the last seven games at any venue have produced at least five total goals, could see Manchester United’s 2020/21 PL season average of 5.33 total goals per game continue.

The visitors’ PL win rate of just 41.18% (W7, D5, L5) as a travelling favourite since the beginning of 2019/20 saw them slip up against many lowly ranked opponents. In that period, their PL record away to clubs (including Newcastle) that finished 13th or lower last season stands at W5, L4, with both teams scoring in just two of the nine.

Fulham has had a terrible start to the season and the money is on them to falter again against the Blades and you can find odds of 2.05 on Betpay for a Sheffield win.

Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Nicknamed the ‘M23 derby’, Crystal Palace take on rivals Brighton & Hove Albion looking for their first home win in this fixture since April 2018 (D1, L1). Roy Hodgson’s men started the season well with two Premier League (PL) victories, yet those were their only wins in this competition across 12 matches (W2, D1, L9). They attempted under 4.5 shots on target in nine of those fixtures, and partly as a consequence of that, failed to score in eight.

The ‘Eagles’ have scored only one goal in both PL home matches so far, and they also scored just one goal in 47.37% of their PL home matches last season too. Whilst they conceded before HT in their last home match, this wasn’t a regular occurrence last season, and therefore both teams scored before the break in just one of their 19 home matches.

Brighton’s start has been disappointing (W1, L3), although they have scored an impressive 2+ goals in three of their PL matches so far. However they trailed at HT in two of those games – losing both – which extended a run from last season of failing to win any PL fixture in which they were trailing at the break (D3, L11).

The side from the South Coast boasts the better overall H2H record in this derby (W40, D26. L37). They’ve also lost just two of their previous seven competitive visits to Selhurst Park (W2, D3, L2). Discipline has been an issue though and they have averaged 2.5 yellow cards per fixture across the previous four matches here.

You can stake on Palace securing a win here and there are odds of 2.70 of that happening on Betpay.

Leicester vs Aston Villa

Leicester City’s best start to a Premier League (PL) season since their return was abruptly halted by their first defeat as a home favourite in seven PL fixtures (W5, D1), also marking the first time since December 2019 that the ‘Foxes’ conceded 3+ goals in a PL home match.

The hosts have now conceded the opening goal in their last three PL outings at all venues – each within the first 15 minutes – fighting back to win on two occasions. Remarkably, all five of their competitive matches this season have seen a winning margin of at least two goals, despite drawn HT scorelines in four.

Like their opponents, Aston Villa also began their PL campaign with three consecutive victories – the first time since 1962/63 they have done so. Conversely, Villa achieved that by scoring first in all three games – twice within the first five minutes – boasting two HT/FT doubles and two clean sheets.

With the seven 2020/21 PL matches involving either side averaging a hectic 4.57 goals per game, the recent form points towards another high scoring H2H meeting. Leicester City put four past Aston Villa in both PL H2Hs last season (4-1 and 4-0), two of the only three games (home or away) in which Aston Villa conceded more than three in a PL match.

The odds look in favour of a Leicester win and you can stake on it on Betpay.

PREDICTION: Leicester 2-0 Aston Villa

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